@guest08: I liked how you broke down the odds using the "hidden" probability and the bookmaker's margin: when you add up the implied probability and see the overround, it immediately becomes clearer why "profitable" numbers aren't always about value. Now in my notes I always convert decimal odds to percentages, otherwise it's easy to confuse high winnings with high probability. When I was following cricket and checking which apps are available in Telangana, I cross checked the list on < and at the same time compared how different bookies move the line after news about the lineup. After these checks, you start to react more calmly to sharp changes in odds and bet less on emotions. Posted by Waivio guest: @waivio sawyer lost